Nba Prop Bets 2017

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1. Will over/under 3.5 players from Duke be drafted in Round 1 of the 2017 NBA draft? For the first time, you can bet on the outcome in Nevada. Here are the final betting odds from the Westgate Las.
2. Best NBA prop bets for Thunder vs Lakers game tonight. Harry How/Getty Images.
3. Josh Hart Under 40.5 -125. The Villanova senior has long been projected to be a second-round pick.

Compare today's NBA player props and find the sportsbook with the best odds.

With the amount of headlines this year's NBA Draft has already generated, it's hard to believe that we're still a few days away from the actual event.

The latest and biggest bombshell came over the weekend, with the announcement that the Celtics have traded away the top pick in the draft (basically the rights to Markelle Fultz) to the Sixers, who continue to stockpile high pick after high pick. I guess we should Trust the Process, because they'll eventually have to get it right in Philadelphia.

There also continues to be plenty of debate over whether Lonzo Ball will end up in Los Angeles or if Josh Jackson will overtake Lavar's son as the second-most coveted player in the draft.

As much fun as it is to obsess over the top lottery prospects and project where they'll end up, I'm more interested in trying to make some money. As I write this, BetOnline's got 14 Over/Under draft props up, where you simply predict whether a player will go Over (later than) or Under (before) that pick in the draft.

While 7 of those props feature potential top-10 picks, I'm more interested in the Over/Under props that involve players who are projected to go in the second round. Best gambling software. I think there's great value in the latter round of this draft, plus it will keep you interested in the proceedings far after the lottery picks are off the board.

With that said, here's my 5 favorite Over/Under NBA Draft prop bets.

1. Josh Hart Under 40.5 -125

The Villanova senior has long been projected to be a second-round pick, but I think there's too much to like about Hart for teams not to consider taking him late in Round 1, if not early in the second round.

On the court, Hart brings a lot to the table. The guard averaged nearly 19 points and 3 assists per game last year with the Wildcats, shot better than 40% from behind the 3-point line, contributed on the glass (6.4 rebounds per outing) and was usually the first player Nova coach Jay Wright would turn to when needing someone to defend the opposition's best player with the game on the line.

So why is a versatile four-year product of a program that won the 2016 national championship (Hart led the team in scoring that season) expected by many to be a mid-to-late second-round pick? Simple: he doesn't have the size, raw athleticism and explosivity that scouts crave in an elite prospect.

Here's where Hart's intangibles come in. Basically, he's had to earn everything he's got. His family's home burned down when he was in high school, his grades suffered, and he worked hard to get back into private school. Going into Villanova, he was the 80th-ranked high school prospect. 4 years later, he's one of the top seniors available in the NBA draft.

If you draft Hart, you're not getting a turn-key NBA stud, but you are getting a guy who has proven time and time again that he'll get the most out of his considerable abilities. I'm betting that a team (maybe the Spurs at #29) will realize and appreciate that before the draft is 41 picks old.

2. Luke Kennard Over 12.5 +115

Kennard has been skyrocketing up a lot of mock drafts ever since he put on an impressive performance at pro day, draining shot after shot from virtually anywhere on the court.

I'm not so sure teams will base an early first-round pick on one day of H-O-R-S-E. Look at it this way: if Kennard had shot poorly at pro day, would scouts have suddenly decided to ignore his collegiate career at Duke and passed on him until the second round? Of course not. So I don't feel that sinking a bunch of long-distance shots at pro day is going to suddenly vault Kennard past a bunch of players with much higher ceilings and into the top dozen of the draft.

Kennard can shoot, but we already knew that. He shot nearly 44% from behind the arc and averaged close to 20 points per game this past season for Duke. He's also a smart player, no surprise for a guy coming out of Mike Krzyzewski's system.

But there are a lot of concerns about how Kennard's game will translate in the NBA, especially at the defensive end. He's got short arms and average quickness, which will probably make him a defensive liability and limit him to coming off the bench in the pros. Even with the recent emphasis on smaller sharpshooters in the NBA, I don't see a team spending an early first-round pick on someone who may not even be able to start for them.

3. Sindarius Thornwell Over 38.5 -125

There are legitimate doubts about whether Thornwell will get selected at all in this draft. I expect that he will, if only because of how well he played in the NCAA Tournament, but I certainly don't see him going before the midway point of the second round. If that's the case, we have a lot of breathing room with this Over/Under prop at 38.5.

The shooting guard enjoyed his coming-out party at March Madness, averaging almost 24 points per game as South Carolina surprised us all with a run to the Final Four. If the draft were immediately after that performance, perhaps Thornwell's performance would still be fresh enough in our minds that it would have earned him a much earlier selection than he warranted.

While Thornwell saw his points per game increase dramatically this past season at South Carolina (he averaged 21.4 points per outing, up from 13.4 the previous year, and was named SEC player of the year), a lot of that may have had to do with his usage rating with the Gamecocks. He won't get the ball at anywhere close to a 29.5% usage rate in the pros, where he won't be able to physically overwhelm opponents in the paint the way he did in college.

Thornwell himself believes he's more of a 'glue guy' and describes himself as one of the best defenders available in this draft. Defense on the perimeter is obviously something that NBA teams value, but I expect them to look for players with more offensive upside until we're past the midway point of the second round.

4. Jayson Tatum Under 4.5 -120

If you're betting on Tatum Over/Under 4.5, you're basically betting on whether the small forward will get picked 4th or lower. The overwhelming consensus is that the top 3 picks in the draft will be Markelle Fultz, Lonzo Ball and Josh Jackson, quite possibly in that order. (In fact, BetOnline has a prop on that, with the Fultz-Ball-Jackson trifecta paying -120 odds.)

That means we need to look at the team that holds the fourth pick and try to predict whether or not Tatum is a good fit for them at #4. That team is the Phoenix Suns, and I do think Tatum has the type of game that generally appeals to the Suns' style.

Phoenix loves playing that fast-paced, up-tempo attack, and Tatum is known for his ability to dribble exceptionally well for a player of his size. There aren't many 6-foot-8 guys out there who can rebound the ball, lead the fast break and then possess a nice range of finishing abilities around the basket.

There are safer picks out there than Tatum, who isn't known as a great defensive player and won't be that valuable in the NBA if he isn't an above-average scorer. But I think the Suns will be too tempted by the offensive potential to pass him up at #4, with hopes that he eventually cashes in that athleticism at the defensive end of the floor.

5. Frank Mason III Under 49.5 +110

Mason has had more than his share of detractors in advance of the NBA Draft, with the most common criticism being his lack of size. At 5-foot-11 and with a short wingspan, Mason will obviously be a disadvantage in the NBA, even at the point guard position.

However, you can't discount the fact that Mason has shown repeatedly that he can overcome that size deficiency with his crazy athleticism, quickness and intensity. He was the NCAA National Player of the Year in 2016, and is coming off a senior season in Kansas where he averaged 20.9 points and 5.2 assists for a Jayhawks squad that went 31-5 overall.

6 years ago, a diminutive point guard with raw scoring abilities went 60th overall in the draft. That player happens to be Isiah Thomas, who threw himself into NBA MVP consideration this past season after averaging 28.9 points per game for the Eastern Conference regular-season champion Celtics. Everyone seems willing to ignore Thomas' obvious defensive liabilities because of his ability to score the ball and lead an offense, and I think NBA teams will be reminded of Thomas when they look at Mason.

At worst, he's a backup point guard with a high motor that can lead an effective second unit. With some professional coaching and a bit more development (even though he's one of the older players available in the draft), he could turn into more than that. Mason's an excellent long-range shooter and has a winning pedigree from 4 years in Kansas, and I see an NBA team rolling the dice a bit on him before the 50th pick in the draft.

The 2017 NBA Draft is set up to be a fantastic event, with star talent like Lonzo Ball, Markelle Fultz and Jayson Tatum all vying for the top pick in the draft. Who goes number one is certainly one huge NBA Draft prop bet we'll all want to keep an eye on, but before we even get to the draft we have several opportunities to win some cash.

Betting on the NBA playoffs can be a great time, but it's always fun to take advantage of special betting opportunities that sports can hand us. That happens on Tuesday night, when the 2017 NBA Draft Lottery sounds off, finalizing the top 14 spots in round one of this year's draft.

The new draft order will spark trade rumors and have several of the top college basketball prospects rising or falling based on where draft gurus pegged them to go before and which teams are selecting in what spots now. Before we even get to that, however, we can all freely bet on what that exact order might end up being.

Thanks to NBA Draft Lottery prop bets, we can take a look at the percentages laid out in front of us and gauge which teams will be in enviable spots when the draft order is finalized. Are the Boston Celtics locks to land the top pick in the draft? Will it be the Lakers or Suns? Will some sneaky teams emerge as top-three pick contenders?

Let's consider it all while taking a look at the NBA Draft Lottery odds over at Sportsbetting.ag:

Top Pick in the Draft

The Boston Celtics lead the way as the most likely team to land the top pick in the 2017 NBA Draft. They owned the lottery pick of the Brooklyn Nets, who had the worst record in the NBA during the 2016-17 regular season.

They lead the way with a 25% chance of securing the top pick, followed by the Suns (19.9%) and Lakers (15.6%). Here are the odds associated with the lottery teams in accordance to their potential to nab the 1st pick in the draft:

• Celtics +285
• Suns +380
• Lakers +500
• 76ers +550
• Magic +950
• Timberwolves +1600
• Knicks +1600
• Mavericks +4500
• Pelicans +5000
• Hornets +6600
• Pistons +8000
• Nuggets +10000
• Heat +10000

All 14 NBA teams that missed the playoffs have a shot at the top pick, or a spot inside the top three. From that point on, the lottery sorts out based on record from the previous season.

Oddsmakers are offering some very nice upside no matter where you go. Boston is a somewhat safe play for the top pick, but given the increased odds for the Suns and Lakers, you could really toss some flier bets at all three and just hope one sticks. They're accounting for a whopping 59% of the lottery's chances at the top pick, so it is a calculated hedge.

While it's likely one of those teams win the top pick in the draft, that is far from a lock. Surprises happen all the time in the Draft Lottery and teams with very small percentage chances have won before. Dallas and everyone below them have less than a 2% chance of getting the top pick, but any of these teams are worth a flier bet, as they have huge payout upside.

There is an argument to bet on just about every team here due to the playability, but the best combination of betting value and upside rests with the Lakers. Los Angeles is third in line with a 15% chance of winning, but it would only make sense that they'd get the chance to draft hometown product, Lonzo Ball.

Nba Prop Bets 2017 2019

Boston and Phoenix are your other best bets, but we're picking the Lakers to nab the top pick.

Celtics Pick Odds

If you're not picking the Celtics to land the top selection, you can still profit on them by betting they'll get a different pick inside the top four. They have the best odds to land the first overall pick, but if they don't they'd be next in line at the second or third pick. If they didn't earn a top three pick somehow, they'd be the first team to get the #4 pick based on record. Here are their top three pick odds, per Sportsbetting.ag:

• #1 Pick (+290)
• #2 Pick (+340)
• #3 Pick (+430)
• #4 Pick (+170)

I don't think I'd lay a bet on the Celtics getting the 4th pick in the draft. Not only does it feel unlikely, but the payout is surprisingly low. They're the odds on favorite to win the top pick, so that bet is understandably playable – and actually more playable than the straight up pick for who gets the #1 selection.

The best value is probably the #2 pick. The #3 pick offers the most upside, but if the Celtics don't get the top pick, they still have a pretty good advantage over the rest of the teams to land the second. The #3 pick has them dead even with the Suns (17% each), however, so that might be a bigger roll of the dice.

Boston is a fine bet to take down the top pick, but the value and likelihood of the #2 pick is probably the play here. Making more than one bet to hedge with this NBA Draft Lottery prop bet isn't a bad idea either.

Lakers Pick Odds

I think the Lakers end up getting the #1 pick, but either way, here's how their odds for landing amongst the first four selections works out:

• #1 Pick (+500)
• #2 Pick (+490)
• #3 Pick (+500)
• Out of Lottery (-120)

I'm not chasing the Lakers falling out of the Lottery, just because there isn't an upside in it. Their bets are all pretty much the same here, too, so you could really just target the first three picks here; as long as they get one of them, you're coming out in the green. I like them at #1, but with their pick specifically, the value bet lies at 2 or 3 just because the Celtics hold superior odds and all their bets offer the same upside.

Naturally, if L.A. is supposedly not likely to get the #1 pick, and we're to believe that, why wouldn't we jump at the exact same bet for them getting one of the next two picks?

Suns Pick Odds

The Suns are second in line to land the top pick in the 2017 NBA Draft, but if they don't get that they hold the next best odds at the second, third and fourth pick in the draft. Here's how you can bet on them before Tuesday's NBA Draft Lottery:

• #1 Pick (+380)
• #2 Pick (+400)
• #3 Pick (+450)
• #4 Pick (+205)
• #5 Pick (+650)

We can't ignore the value of the Suns somehow landing at the #5 pick, but that doesn't feel likely. There also isn't enough value with the #4 pick, so we're chasing them somewhere in the top three. We like the Lakers for the top spot, but Phoenix remains firmly in play with a 19.9% chance to nab that pick.

Like the Lakers, if we can get that same bet at the 2nd and 3rd pick and the Suns aren't supposed to win the top pick in the first place, we probably need to jump at that value.

There is some serious guesswork involved here, so the idea would really be to make modest bets and hedge as best as you can. You can also just try flat out predicting the order of the top 3-4 picks and bet accordingly. That would naturally be highly profitable if you were correct.

Flier Bets

There are a few other flier bets that we can consider making just for fun, and we're only pointing to the ones that offer serious upside. There are a lot and several different NBA Draft Lottery prop bets on various basketball betting sites, but these are our favorites at Sportsbetting.ag:

Knicks in Top 3

New York is not expected to earn a top three pick, but they do have a 5.3% chance of getting the 1st overall pick and their odds go up to 7% at the #3 pick. They aren't a lock at all to get inside the top three, but they rank 7th out of 14 teams in terms of top three odds, so they're worth a look. That's especially the case with these playable odds:

• Yes (+425)
• No (-450)

Vegas obviously does not believe the Knicks will get the top pick, let alone one in the top three. Making that bet provides a very nice return, however, so it remains a fun Lottery wager.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves offer that same exact bet (+425 vs. -450) and actually hold the same exact odds as New York to land a top three pick. If you're feeling good about the Knicks finding their way into the top three, consider tossing a bet on the Wolves, as well.

Nba Prop Bets 2017 Fantasy

One other solid bet is gauging whether or not the Orlando Magic will find their way inside the top three selections in the 2017 NBA Draft. The Magic have a better chance that New York or Minnesota and currently carry the 5th best odds to land the top pick (8.8%) in this year's draft. They also have a 9% chance to get the 2nd pick and a 10% chance to get the third pick.

Orlando is a fun bet because as the Celtics/Lakers/Suns hear their name called, their odds of landing at two or three should only improve. Here is their bet:

Nba Prop Bets 2017 2020

• Yes (+230)
• No (-250)

I don't love the playability of this bet either way you look at it, but the Magic do hold better odds than the Knicks or T'Wolves. If we're betting on them as potential top three pick holders, we at least need to consider Orlando, as well.

Nba Prop Bets 2017 Results

The 2017 NBA Draft Lottery is just the start of a new NBA betting season. Remember that there will be much more to think about ahead of the actual draft, while there will be a ton to bet on moving forward as we look forward to awards and the 2017-18 NBA season. Good luck with your Lottery bets on Tuesday!

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